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polymarket-weather-trader

Trade Polymarket weather markets using NOAA forecasts via Simmer API. Inspired by gopfan2's $2M+ strategy. Use when user wants to trade temperature markets, automate weather bets, check NOAA forecasts, or run gopfan2-style trading.

adlai880 source installs☆ 0 Repository stars

Installation

Follow the repository instructions for this skill and your agent. Review the files and dependencies before adding it to your workflow.

SkillHub CLI

skillhub install adlai88/polymarket-weather-trader

Inspect the source and compatibility requirements, then follow its installation steps.

Give your agent the source link and ask it to inspect instructions and dependencies before explaining the installation steps.

View source ↗Guides

Skill instructions

Polymarket Weather Trader

Trade temperature markets on Polymarket using NOAA forecast data.

This is a template. The default signal is NOAA temperature forecasts — remix it with other weather APIs, different forecast models, or additional market types (precipitation, wind, etc.). The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, NOAA parsing, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.

When to Use This Skill

Use this skill when the user wants to:

  • Trade weather markets automatically
  • Set up gopfan2-style temperature trading
  • Buy low on weather predictions
  • Check their weather trading positions
  • Configure trading thresholds or locations

What's New in v1.14.0

  • Fixed env var names to match autotune registry (old names still work as aliases):
    • SIMMER_WEATHER_ENTRY → SIMMER_WEATHER_ENTRY_THRESHOLD
    • SIMMER_WEATHER_EXIT → SIMMER_WEATHER_EXIT_THRESHOLD
    • SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_POSITION → SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_POSITION_USD
    • SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_TRADES → SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_TRADES_PER_RUN
  • New tunable: SIMMER_WEATHER_SLIPPAGE_MAX — adjustable slippage safeguard (default 15%). Set higher for research mode on illiquid markets.
  • New tunable: SIMMER_WEATHER_MIN_LIQUIDITY — skip markets with liquidity below this USD threshold (default 0 = disabled). Pre-filters thin markets before execution.
  • SIMMER_WEATHER_LOCATIONS and SIMMER_WEATHER_BINARY_ONLY now exposed as autotune tunables.
v1.13.0
  • Binary Only Mode: New SIMMER_WEATHER_BINARY_ONLY config to skip range-bucket events (e.g., "NYC 34-35°F") and only trade binary yes/no weather markets
v1.2.0
  • Max Trades Per Run: New SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_TRADES config to limit trades per scan cycle (default: 5)
v1.1.1
  • Status Script: New scripts/status.py for quick balance and position checks
  • API Reference: Added Quick Commands section with API endpoints
v1.1.0
  • Source Tagging: All trades tagged with `sdk:we...

Source information

Source
github
Repository
openclaw/skills
Path
skills/adlai88/polymarket-weather-trader
Version
—
Commit
92f3734bca25e3985136673f21dad88b22787a37
Classification source
rules
Status
active
Visibility
public

These signals come from indexed source analysis and may lag behind changes. Check the current source files.

Extracted content

SKILL.md
# Polymarket Weather Trader

Trade temperature markets on Polymarket using NOAA forecast data.

> **This is a template.** The default signal is NOAA temperature forecasts — remix it with other weather APIs, different forecast models, or additional market types (precipitation, wind, etc.). The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, NOAA parsing, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.

## When to Use This Skill

Use this skill when the user wants to:
- Trade weather markets automatically
- Set up gopfan2-style temperature trading
- Buy low on weather predictions
- Check their weather trading positions
- Configure trading thresholds or locations

## What's New in v1.14.0

- **Fixed env var names** to match autotune registry (old names still work as aliases):
  - `SIMMER_WEATHER_ENTRY` → `SIMMER_WEATHER_ENTRY_THRESHOLD`
  - `SIMMER_WEATHER_EXIT` → `SIMMER_WEATHER_EXIT_THRESHOLD`
  - `SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_POSITION` → `SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_POSITION_USD`
  - `SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_TRADES` → `SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_TRADES_PER_RUN`
- **New tunable: `SIMMER_WEATHER_SLIPPAGE_MAX`** — adjustable slippage safeguard (default 15%). Set higher for research mode on illiquid markets.
- **New tunable: `SIMMER_WEATHER_MIN_LIQUIDITY`** — skip markets with liquidity below this USD threshold (default 0 = disabled). Pre-filters thin markets before execution.
- **`SIMMER_WEATHER_LOCATIONS` and `SIMMER_WEATHER_BINARY_ONLY` now exposed as autotune tunables.**

### v1.13.0
- **Binary Only Mode**: New `SIMMER_WEATHER_BINARY_ONLY` config to skip range-bucket events (e.g., "NYC 34-35°F") and only trade binary yes/no weather markets

### v1.2.0
- **Max Trades Per Run**: New `SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_TRADES` config to limit trades per scan cycle (default: 5)

### v1.1.1
- **Status Script**: New `scripts/status.py` for quick balance and position checks
- **API Reference**: Added Quick Commands section with API endpoints

### v1.1.0
- **Source Tagging**: All trades tagged with `sdk:we...

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