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polymarket-weather-trader

Trade Polymarket weather markets using NOAA forecasts via Simmer API. Inspired by gopfan2's $2M+ strategy. Use when user wants to trade temperature markets, automate weather bets, check NOAA forecasts, or run gopfan2-style trading.

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Status

ACTIVE

Visibility

PUBLIC

安装方式

直接复制以下提示词,发送给你的 AI 助手即可完成安装。

请先检查是否已安装 SkillHub 商店,若未安装,请根据 https://skillhub-1388575217.cos.ap-guangzhou.myqcloud.com/install/skillhub.md 安装 SkillHub 商店,然后安装 polymarket-weather-trader 技能。 若已安装,则直接安装 polymarket-weather-trader 技能。

Overview

Skill Key
adlai88/polymarket-weather-trader
Author
adlai88
Source Repo
openclaw/skills
Version
-
Source Path
skills/adlai88/polymarket-weather-trader
Latest Commit SHA
92f3734bca25e3985136673f21dad88b22787a37

Extracted Content

SKILL.md excerpt

# Polymarket Weather Trader

Trade temperature markets on Polymarket using NOAA forecast data.

> **This is a template.** The default signal is NOAA temperature forecasts — remix it with other weather APIs, different forecast models, or additional market types (precipitation, wind, etc.). The skill handles all the plumbing (market discovery, NOAA parsing, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides the alpha.

## When to Use This Skill

Use this skill when the user wants to:
- Trade weather markets automatically
- Set up gopfan2-style temperature trading
- Buy low on weather predictions
- Check their weather trading positions
- Configure trading thresholds or locations

## What's New in v1.14.0

- **Fixed env var names** to match autotune registry (old names still work as aliases):
  - `SIMMER_WEATHER_ENTRY` → `SIMMER_WEATHER_ENTRY_THRESHOLD`
  - `SIMMER_WEATHER_EXIT` → `SIMMER_WEATHER_EXIT_THRESHOLD`
  - `SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_POSITION` → `SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_POSITION_USD`
  - `SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_TRADES` → `SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_TRADES_PER_RUN`
- **New tunable: `SIMMER_WEATHER_SLIPPAGE_MAX`** — adjustable slippage safeguard (default 15%). Set higher for research mode on illiquid markets.
- **New tunable: `SIMMER_WEATHER_MIN_LIQUIDITY`** — skip markets with liquidity below this USD threshold (default 0 = disabled). Pre-filters thin markets before execution.
- **`SIMMER_WEATHER_LOCATIONS` and `SIMMER_WEATHER_BINARY_ONLY` now exposed as autotune tunables.**

### v1.13.0
- **Binary Only Mode**: New `SIMMER_WEATHER_BINARY_ONLY` config to skip range-bucket events (e.g., "NYC 34-35°F") and only trade binary yes/no weather markets

### v1.2.0
- **Max Trades Per Run**: New `SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_TRADES` config to limit trades per scan cycle (default: 5)

### v1.1.1
- **Status Script**: New `scripts/status.py` for quick balance and position checks
- **API Reference**: Added Quick Commands section with API endpoints

### v1.1.0
- **Source Tagging**: All trades tagged with `sdk:we...

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