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polymarket-sports-edge

Find odds divergence between sportsbook consensus and Polymarket sports markets, then trade the gap.

0xjims0 来源安装数☆ 0 仓库 Stars

安装与使用

请根据来源仓库和你的 AI 工具说明安装此技能。先阅读技能文件和依赖要求,再添加到工作流。

SkillHub CLI

skillhub install 0xjims/polymarket-sports-edge

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技能说明

Polymarket Sports Edge

This is a template. The default signal compares sportsbook consensus odds against Polymarket prices and trades when divergence exceeds a threshold. Remix it — adjust the sports, threshold, sizing, or add your own filters (e.g., only trade NBA, require minimum volume, weight by recency).

What It Does

Scans active Polymarket sports markets and compares prices against the sportsbook consensus from The Odds API. When a market is mispriced relative to sharp bookmaker lines, it buys the underpriced side.

The edge: Sportsbook lines are set by professional oddsmakers with billions in handle — they're extremely well-calibrated. Polymarket sports markets are thinner and less efficient. When they disagree, the books are usually right.

How It Works

  1. Fetch active sports markets from Simmer (GET /api/sdk/markets?q=<sport>)
  2. Fetch current odds from The Odds API for the same sports
  3. Match markets to games by comparing team names and dates
  4. Calculate implied probability from the sportsbook consensus (average across all bookmakers)
  5. Compare against the Polymarket price — if divergence exceeds the threshold, trade
  6. Buy the underpriced side with reasoning logged

Setup

Environment Variables
Variable Required Description
SIMMER_API_KEY Yes Your Simmer API key
THE_ODDS_API_KEY Yes Free key from the-odds-api.com (500 req/month free)
MIN_DIVERGENCE No Minimum probability gap to trade (default: 0.08 = 8%)
TRADE_AMOUNT No Amount per trade in venue currency (default: 10.0)
SPORTS No Comma-separated Odds API sport keys (default: NBA, NFL, NHL, MLB, MMA, EPL, MLS)
LIVE No Set to true for real trades. Default is dry-run.
Get a Free Odds API Key
  1. Go to the-odds-api.com
  2. Sign up for the free tier (500 requests/month)
  3. Copy your API key
  4. Set it:...

来源信息

Source
github
Repository
openclaw/skills
Path
skills/0xjims/polymarket-sports-edge
Version
—
Commit
17342b793df7d08b4765c057410b878e7e4c4d14
分类来源
rules
状态
active
可见性
public

这些信息来自收录时的来源分析,可能滞后;使用前请核对最新来源文件。

来源内容

SKILL.md
# Polymarket Sports Edge

> **This is a template.** The default signal compares sportsbook consensus odds
> against Polymarket prices and trades when divergence exceeds a threshold.
> Remix it — adjust the sports, threshold, sizing, or add your own filters
> (e.g., only trade NBA, require minimum volume, weight by recency).

## What It Does

Scans active Polymarket sports markets and compares prices against the
sportsbook consensus from The Odds API. When a market is mispriced relative
to sharp bookmaker lines, it buys the underpriced side.

**The edge:** Sportsbook lines are set by professional oddsmakers with billions
in handle — they're extremely well-calibrated. Polymarket sports markets are
thinner and less efficient. When they disagree, the books are usually right.

## How It Works

1. Fetch active sports markets from Simmer (`GET /api/sdk/markets?q=<sport>`)
2. Fetch current odds from The Odds API for the same sports
3. Match markets to games by comparing team names and dates
4. Calculate implied probability from the sportsbook consensus (average across all bookmakers)
5. Compare against the Polymarket price — if divergence exceeds the threshold, trade
6. Buy the underpriced side with reasoning logged

## Setup

### Environment Variables

| Variable | Required | Description |
|----------|----------|-------------|
| `SIMMER_API_KEY` | Yes | Your Simmer API key |
| `THE_ODDS_API_KEY` | Yes | Free key from [the-odds-api.com](https://the-odds-api.com) (500 req/month free) |
| `MIN_DIVERGENCE` | No | Minimum probability gap to trade (default: `0.08` = 8%) |
| `TRADE_AMOUNT` | No | Amount per trade in venue currency (default: `10.0`) |
| `SPORTS` | No | Comma-separated Odds API sport keys (default: NBA, NFL, NHL, MLB, MMA, EPL, MLS) |
| `LIVE` | No | Set to `true` for real trades. Default is dry-run. |

### Get a Free Odds API Key

1. Go to [the-odds-api.com](https://the-odds-api.com)
2. Sign up for the free tier (500 requests/month)
3. Copy your API key
4. Set it:...

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